Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for PAM-15 in Vanuatu from 09 Mar 2015 12:00 UTC to 10 Mar 2015 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for PAM-15

in Vanuatu

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAM-15 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Vanuatu
Exposed population	90 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	278 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	259 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	278 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

TOP

Wind

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	09 Mar 2015 06:00	222	No people	No people
2	09 Mar 2015 12:00	222	No people	No people
3	10 Mar 2015 00:00	241	No people	No people	Vanuatu
4	10 Mar 2015 12:00	259	No people	No people	Vanuatu
5	10 Mar 2015 18:00	259	No people	No people	Vanuatu

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	09 Mar 2015 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-8.5, 169.8
2	09 Mar 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-8.4, 170.3
3	10 Mar 2015 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	-9.8, 170.5
4	10 Mar 2015 12:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	-10.6, 170.3
5	10 Mar 2015 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	-11.1, 170.1
5	11 Mar 2015 06:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	-12, 169.8
5	11 Mar 2015 18:00	Category 4	231	no people	no people	-12.9, 169.6
5	12 Mar 2015 06:00	Category 4	250	no people	no people	-14.1, 169.6
5	12 Mar 2015 18:00	Category 5	259	no people	no people	-15.7, 169.8
5	13 Mar 2015 18:00	Category 4	231	no people	no people	-20.9, 171
5	14 Mar 2015 18:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	-27.7, 175.8
5	15 Mar 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-35.6, -177.5

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 16 of Fri, 13 Mar 2015 11:00:00 GMT UTC. (Simulation using minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.